Last week brought a little late season success. I went 3-1 with my picks, putting me at 22-18 on the year. Time is running out though. With only five short weeks of the college football season left, every pick counts. Unfortunately for me, the picks only get harder from this moment on, and it all starts tonight with four teams in the top 15 going head to head. The good news is the outcome of these games will do wonders for clearing up the BCS title game picture. The bad news is this week’s picks will be the toughest of the season by far. It makes me wish I didn’t waste picks on Indiana and Missouri this year.
They say championships are won in November. Sports are filled with those little nuggets. Of course championships are won in November. By now everyone has long since forgotten about the accomplishments or failures that teams may have had in September. Everyone, including certain one loss teams, still have a shot at the promise land. No matter who you are, a loss in November will completely derail your season. Ask Oregon, a late season loss last year to Stanford prevented the Ducks from playing for the national title. Instead we were left with a very overrated Notre Dame team. Thanks Oregon.
This November will not be any different. Conference championships are won in November, as is the right to play for the real championship…
No. 10 Oklahoma at No. 6 Baylor
It’s still to be determined if this game will have any outcome on the national title game. Oklahoma won’t be playing for the title no matter what happens, and Baylor needs a lot of help, namely five teams in front of them losing between now and the end of the season, for it to matter. As for this game; it’s interesting to say the least. Oklahoma held the high flying Texas Tech offense to 30 points last week…point Oklahoma. Baylor is playing at home…point Baylor. Well, not really. The Baylor stadium holds a whopping 50,000 people, and it’s only been filled to capacity four times in school history. Advantage Oklahoma. Baylor is averaging 60 points per game, but look at who they’ve played. It’s a who’s who of crap. I’ll take Oklahoma because they’ve been in these situations time and again. Experience counts for something.
Oklahoma 44 Baylor 35
No. 3 Oregon at No. 5 Stanford
Well, the time has come for me to put my money where my mouth is. I have been banging on Oregon all season long, and for good reason. It’s my opinion, and a damn good one, that Oregon is a paper Tiger. Yes they win big, against bottom feeders. Yes they put of gaudy stats, against garbage opponents. Oregon is a shocking 2-3 in their last five matchups against top five teams, and only average 30 points per game against top five teams. While 30 points per game is nothing to sneeze at, it’s a far cry from what they do to every other team they play. Basically, don’t drink the Oregon Kool-Aid that ESPN serving. Even if they beat Stanford, they won’t light the world on fire like everyone seems to think they will. Oregon will lose because Stanford is physical, can control the ball on offense, and make stops on defense when they have to.
Stanford 24 Oregon 21
Nebraska at Michigan
Try not to fall asleep if you chose to watch this game. Actually, this game might provide you with the perfect three hour window to nod off on Saturday afternoon. Both teams are 6-2 but both teams should be 4-4. It took a Hail Mary for Nebraska to beat a Northwestern team that is 0 for October. Michigan is fresh off of a beat down at the hands of Michigan State. That is why I am going to take Nebraska. Michigan got pushed all over the field last Saturday. The mental and physical toll that game must have had on the Wolverines is second to none. Coupled with the fact that Devin Gardner is the worst Michigan quarterback in my lifetime, that spells disaster for the home team. Nebraska will not run away with this game, but they’ll do just enough to get the W!
Nebraska 33 Michigan 27
No. 13 LSU at No. 1 Alabama
If you survive the coma Michigan/Nebraska will put you into, your prize is one of the best games of the year. Just five weeks ago I was ready to declare LSU the favorite to win the national title and beat Alabama in this game. Since then LSU has lost twice to teams that have a combined six losses while Alabama has gotten stronger every week. There have been several knocks on Bama so far this year. First was their defense. Well, aside from the A&M game, Alabama has given up 36 points in seven games. That’s an average of 5 points per game. They also pitched two shut outs. The second knock was their offense. Well, they average 41 points a game, so I’m not sure what all the fuss is about. It’s true they’re not Oregon on offense, but as I explained above, neither is Oregon. All that being said, LSU could very well win this game. I just don’t think they will.
Alabama 35 LSU 23