Zig’s College Football Picks

by Bryan Z. on November 9, 2012 · 0 comments

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Now, that’s more like it. I went 3-1 with my weekly picks last week. There always seems to be that one game I just can’t get right. Last week it was Texas vs. Texas Tech. I picked the Red Raiders because every statistical number I looked at told me to. On paper they had the better offense, defense, and they were playing at home. But as my good friend Mark Twain said, “There are liars, damned liars and statisticians.” In the case of this game, history would have been a more accurate tool for picking a winner. Texas has now won four in a row against Texas Tech. As bad as Texas has looked at times throughout this season, and much of last season, Mac Brown seems to have his boys headed back in the right direction. It’s a shame that direction has a final destination of Manhattan, KS.

I haven’t yet mentioned the fact that I am now 10-9 on my weekly picks this season. For the first time all year I am above .500. How do I keep this thing going? How do I capitalize on last week’s success? I could pick easier games. I could tell you how South Carolina is going to do things to Arkansas that is illegal in most states. Where is the challenge in that? Why pick the easy games for the sake of getting them right? I would much rather get a few wrong than foretell that Rutgers is going to bitch slap Army. I’ve brewed a strong pot of coffee. I have slammed my morning dose of Red Bull, Monster and Rock Star. I am now wired with pure college football picking energy, or a tumor.  I won’t be able to sleep for weeks, but it’s worth it.

No 2:30 p.m. feeling:

No. 24 Northwestern at Michigan

This is the type of game that Northwestern was born to lose. The Wildcats are certainly better than they have been in years past, and Michigan is still a couple of years away from being elite, but there is no prospect Northwestern will win this game. Look at the facts: Northwestern has the 113th ranked passing offense in FBS, while Michigan is the proud owner of the best pass defense in the country. Northwestern does have a decent ground attack, but Michigan’s defense shines against the middle of the road Big Ten teams. Michigan is also optimistic that Denard Robinson will return from his elbow injury this week. Denard, or no Denard, Michigan will not lose this game.

Michigan 35 Northwestern 21

 

No. 11 Oregon State at No. 14 Stanford

This is going to be a fun game to watch. I could lay out all the numbers for you. Numbers like both schools are top five  nationally in rush defense. I prefer to go with the “eyeball” test in picking this game. When I watch Stanford play, I see a big, physical team with great defense and a run of the mill offense. When I watch Oregon State, I see a smaller, less athletic version of Oregon. Ultimately this game will boil down to two factors: Can Stanford’s offensive line take over and allow them to run the ball instead of making their inconsistent quarterback throw it? And can Oregon State match the physical play of Stanford? The answers you’re looking for are Yes and No.

Stanford 44 Oregon State 27

 

No. 15 Texas A&M at No. 1 Alabama

For those of you that want to see an Alabama/Oregon national title game, here is your preview. This will be a test unlike any Alabama has seen in years. Alabama’s defense is built to stop the LSUs, Georgias and Texas’ of the world. Texas A&M is headed to Tuscaloosa with something completely different. Yes they have one of the best offenses in the country, along with one of the best players in the country (Johnny Manziel), but it’s how they do it that makes them such a tough match-up for the Crimson Tide. There are two very BIG reasons why Texas A&M can beat Alabama, and Oregon never will. Unlike Oregon, A&M plays nasty defense, and unlike Oregon, A&M is physical. I could go on and on, but I am afraid I will talk myself out of picking the upset.

Texas A&M 27 Alabama 23

 

West Virginia at Oklahoma State

Finding a fourth game to pick this week was like trying to find a beautiful woman in West Virginia, the quality just isn’t there. So I picked this game for unadulterated entertainment. West Virginia’s offense hasn’t been seen in weeks, and their defense hasn’t been seen in years. Oklahoma State on the other hand has one of the best offenses in the country and they play pretty respectable defense. Let’s go ahead and assume that West Virginia and Geno Smith remember they’re capable of putting up huge points. If that happens, this game will be must see TV. Both teams will light up the scoreboard and provide more meaningless action than a Jason Statham movie. And don’t even try and act like you won’t watch.

Oklahoma State 85 West Virginia 75

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