Junior D’s Fantastic Four: Week 12

by Junior D on November 22, 2013 · 0 comments

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Week 11 was not kind to me at all. Going 0-4 isn’t something I take pride in. So, this week I pick myself up, dust myself off and kick these picks in the ass.

There are plenty of very good games to pick from this week. As the playoffs get closer these games will get even harder to pick than previous weeks. This is the time of year when some surprise teams play spoiler and injuries start to play a huge role in who will make the post season.

There are teams that will make the playoffs because they are healthier than others and they are on a hot streak. Even though many of the divisions looked to be locked up, there will still be some surprises down the home stretch of the season. This is the time where we separate the men from the boys!

Let’s get to the picks!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-9)week12 picks

Last week I took the Lions but didn’t think about them playing in bad weather in an outdoor stadium. I also didn’t take into consideration that Jim Schwartz could make one of the worst calls of the season by faking a chip shot field goal and letting his holder (the punter) run the ball on 4th down against a good Steelers defense. This week they play at home in the dome against a bad Bucs team.  The Bucs are 1-4 on the road ATS and the Lions always play better on a fast track. If Schwartz can refrain from making bone head play calls the Lions should win this one easily and cover the spread.

Pick: Detroit Lions (-9)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (-2)week 12 picks 2

Surprisingly the Browns are favorites in this game.  To Cleveland’s credit, they have played tough all year but they are starting to fall apart down the stretch. Jason Campbell looked like he didn’t want to be there last week against the Bengals and they buckled in the second half.  They’re also 3-2 ATS at home which doesn’t give me any confidence in them. Pittsburgh is one of the teams that I discussed earlier that is getting healthy and hot at the right time. Even though the Browns have hung their hat on their defense all season, the Steelers will still score and get contributions from their defense and special teams.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (+2)

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)week 12 picks 3

Just for making me look bad last week I hope that the Jets get their dicks kicked in. Geno Smith is getting figured out by defenses around the league and he has looked awful in the second half of this season.  Even though there have been rumors about benching Smith, Rex Ryan will continue to start the rookie. The Ravens aren’t anything near the Ravens’ teams of the past. They are average, at best. Average is good enough to beat the Jets though. Much like the Browns, the Jets have hung their hat on their defense but it won’t help them against Baltimore. The Jets are 2-3 ATS on the road and the Ravens are 4-0 ATS at home so that gives me the confidence to go with the Ravens.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-2.5)week 12 picks 4

The Giants who decided to give the rest of the NFC East a head start on the season have been winning recently because they have players coming off of the injury report. Much like seasons past, the Giants are getting hot at the right time as well. Dallas, on the other hand, has been given this kiss of death by Jerry Jones when he announced that Jason Garrett’s job is not in jeopardy. We all know what that means…the ginger will be looking for a coaching job at the end of the season. The Cowboys are doing what the Cowboys do; play mediocre football with great talent and crumble at the end of the season. Even though the Cowboys have been very good against the spread this season, I don’t see them coming close on this one.  The Giants have won their last four games by an average of 10.5 points. I see them winning this game by at least 4 points and covering.

Pick: New York Giants (-2.5)

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